Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset ...

Seeking Alpha analysts Damir Tokic and Ironman at Political Calculations weigh in with their thoughts.

Discover what ex-post means in finance, how it is calculated, and how it differs from ex-ante. Use historical data to better ...

Probability models that once belonged to high-stakes poker have become a backbone for NHL betting analytics. It’s no longer just “feeling lucky.” Frameworks honed over decades of card play have found ...

This article presents an application for failure probability in long-pipeline gas systems through the development of trend curves over time for the attributes of corrosion wear, which are related to ...

Abstract: We consider a two-ray ground reflection scenario with only statistical knowledge about the distance between transmitter and receiver. Additionally, two frequencies are used in parallel to ...

Implied probability is a concept that has a huge impact on how you judge the value of a bet. It’s something that you often hear about, but most bettors don’t stop to properly unpack this concept. In ...

Non-Gaussian quantum states, described by negative-valued Wigner functions, are important for both fundamental tests of quantum physics and for emerging quantum information technologies. One of the ...